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The budget is not a forecast. It is taking a stand

Theory and practice

The budget is one of the most underrated tools in SMEs: not because it is useless but because it is used the wrong way. Often it is little more than a forecast: a copy of the previous year’s numbers… with a few adjustments.

This is not budgeting: it is accounting in advance. The budget, the real one, is a planning methodology. It is used to:

And it has one fundamental feature: it only works if it involves people. It is not a file belonging to the accounts department but a management tool, which must be built together with those who will then have to achieve the targets.

And here another typical mistake emerges: you start from historical data… and treat it as “normal”. But the past is not a destination but a starting point, because if you take it for granted, you automatically stop improving on it.

That is why there is a different approach: zero-based budgeting. You reset everything and start again. Every cost is called into question:

This approach helps the business think more clearly about its real priorities. It is as if the company were born today and, from that moment, inefficiencies, waste and hidden margins come to light.

The budget is not for predicting but for deciding, allocating resources and steering the company. Thinking this way forces the business to continually question its priorities and the real usefulness of every expense it incurs. And it is precisely this approach that turns the budget from a mere numerical document into a genuine tool for growth and control.

When the budgeting process is approached correctly, the company gains a much clearer view of its operational and economic priorities, because every function starts thinking not only about the activities to be carried out but also about the results to be achieved and the resources genuinely needed to achieve them. This makes it possible to improve internal coordination, reduce impulsive decisions and create greater consistency between strategy, operations and the monitoring of results.

The budget is a tool for accountability, because it makes the contribution of each business area to the company’s overall objectives more visible. Moreover, working with shared numerical targets makes it possible to measure variances more precisely and to intervene more quickly when results diverge from expectations. Many SMEs forgo this approach because they consider it too complex but, in reality, even a simple system can enormously improve the quality of decisions.

So the question is unavoidable: are you really planning the future… or just updating the past?

Written by Dr Flavio Marzani, founder of www.fmstudioconsulenza.it

Budget and forecastsCosts

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